Chart patterns

Introduction

Chart patterns are well documented phenomena in technical analysis literature and are said to be based on psychological phenomena that occur between the buyers and sellers of financial instruments in liquid markets. They include but are not limited to head-and-shoulders, channels, triangles and wedges.

Pattern formations do not form a trading system, but rather provide an indication of the potential future trend as the security's price breaks key psychological barriers in the form of support and resistance lines.

Identifying chart patterns and using technical analysis does not guarantee success in the off exchange foreign currency market. Trading in this market is risky and only suitable for the sophisticated investor.

Pattern Types

There are numerous types of patterns, all named according to the shapes that the price graphs form between the support and resistance lines. The general types of patterns include Triangles, Channels, Wedges, and Head-and-Shoulders.

Triangles

A triangle is formed between converging support and resistance lines. A negative sloping resistance line indicates a reducing level of profit taking or more uncertainty about the value of the stock. With a positive sloping support line the price levels are squeezed into a corner. Once the support or resistance line is broken, pressure that has built up as a result of uncertainty is released and a certain amount of momentum is added to the price change in the direction of the breakout.



There are specific variations of triangles that can occur, namely ascending and descending triangles. An ascending triangle has a horizontal resistance line and a descending triangle has a horizontal support line.



An ascending triangle usually occurs as a continuation of a bullish trend, while a descending triangle usually occurs as a continuation of a bearish trend.

Channels & Rectangles

A channel is formed between parallel support and resistance lines. This pattern usually indicates a relatively strong trend (up or down) with the price staying within the lines until breakout. A breakout from a channel indicates either a reversal in the trend or a change in the slope of the current trend.



Similar to a channel, a rectangle is a pattern formed between horizontal support and resistance lines.



Rectangles and Channels are sometimes referred to as Flags and Pennants depending on the slope of the initial trend and the slope of the breakout. A Flag would be defined as a Bullish Continuation Channel Down, or a Bearish Continuation Channel Up. A Pennant would be defined as a Bullish Continuation Triangle, or a Bearish Continuation Triangle.

Wedges

Wedges are similar to triangles in that these patterns are formed between converging support and resistance lines. However, where the support and resistance lines in a triangle have one positive and one negative slope, the support and resistance lines of a wedge would both have either a positive or negative slope. Wedges with positive slopes are called Rising Wedges and ones with negative slopes are Falling Wedges.



The most common wedges are found as breakouts in the opposite direction of the wedge. That is, bearish breakouts in a rising wedge, and bullish breakouts in a falling wedge.

Head & Shoulders

A Head and Shoulders pattern describes a share price movement that depicts the head and shoulders of a person. Head and Shoulders is a reversal pattern from a bullish trend to a bearish trend. The pattern starts when the price graph crosses the support line upwards before formation of the left shoulder, and is completed once the graph crosses the support line downwards after formation of the right shoulder.



An Inverse Head and Shoulders is similar in shape except that it is upside down and indicates reversal from bearish to bullish trend.

article source: http://www.interbankfx.com/Tools/PRS/Tutorials.aspx

Learn to Trade Triangle Chart Patterns Part 1

Last Year, I've learned a lot about indicators.. but then, I realize that i become obsessed with indicators. Well, the pro said, indicators are only value added tools. The Charts n Technical Analysis are the main things..
mmm.. o.k then.. lets study about charts..




Triangle Patterns can be broken down into three categories: The ascending triangle, the descending triangle, and the symmetrical triangle. While the shape of the triangle is significant of more importance is the direction that the market moves when it breaks out of the triangle. Lastly, while triangles can sometimes be reversal patterns they are normally seen as continuation patterns.
The Ascending Triangle:

The ascending triangle is formed when the market makes higher lows and the same level highs. These patterns are normally seen in an uptrend and viewed as a continuation pattern as the bulls gain more and more control running up to the top resistance line of the pattern. While you normally will see this pattern form in an uptrend if you do see it in a downtrend it should be paid attention to as it can act as a powerful reversal signal.
The Descending Triangle:

The descending triangle is formed when the market makes lower highs and the same level lows. These patterns are normally seen in a downtrend and viewed as a continuation pattern as the bears gain more and more control running down to the bottom support line of the pattern. While you normally will see this pattern form in a downtrend, if you do see it in an uptrend it should be paid attention to as it can act as a powerful reversal signal.
The Symmetrical Triangle:

The symmetrical triangle is formed when the market makes lower highs and higher lows and is commonly associated with directionless markets as the contraction of the market range indicates that neither the bulls nor the bears are in control. If this pattern forms in an uptrend then it is considered a continuation pattern if the market breaks out to the upside and a reversal pattern if the market breaks to the downside. Similarly if the pattern forms in a downtrend it is considered a continuation pattern if the market breaks out to the downside and a reversal pattern if the market breaks to the upside.

source:http://www.informedtrades.com/3557-learn-trade-triangle-chart-patterns-part-1-a.html

Trading Plan - could help to rectify trade problems

After nearly 2 weeks using the Trading Plan and Paper Trade. Finally, i found my biggest problem, while trading FX..
This Trading Plan is really useful.. Why?..
(On this Particular Case). I noted each of our position entry, plus the reason why i did open the post.
Last Saturday, I have 4 floating positions (E/U and U/J).. Total of -200 pips..
Then, I check the reasons on why I opened the post, one by one..
Then later I found out, My problem is
"I try to hit the top of E/U and bottom of U/J and didn’t wait for enough confirmation. I trade against the market and as soon as I saw a small reversal signal,I enter the opposite pos,t whereas the market yet to change its direction.

Today, I found the solution, how to improve my trading style (of course, from the internet).

"If this is your problem, then it is very easy to resolve:

First way: Do not wait for a reversal signal. Go long when it has already started to go up. Go short when it has already started to go down. Do not try to hit the top and bottom of the market. Enter to the trade when the market is on its way and is moving to a special direction.

Second way: Act against your primary decision. For example if you came to this conclusion that the price wants to go down, don’t go short. Go long!!!

and visa versa …" Mr Vahid http://www.weboma.com/about/

Discipline

To be a good trader, they said.. you need to be disciplined.. My self told me " If you really serious about trading forex, be discipline. or else forget about forex trading". For a week i thought about discipline that relates my current situation as a newbie in forex trading and as a human being in general. I wonder, what should i do now??.. I used to heard about it during my school days time....

I know, need to acquire this... but how to start?.. then, i thought.. how about, go back to the roots... what does discipline really means..

"In its most general sense, discipline refers to systematic instruction given to a disciple. This sense also preserves the origin of the word, which is Latin disciplina, "instruction."

To discipline thus means to instruct a person or animal to follow a particular code of conduct, or to adhere to a certain "order," or to adopt a particular pattern of behaviour. So for example, to discipline a child to wash its hands before meals. Here, 'washing hands before meals' is a particular pattern of behaviour, and the child is being disciplined to adopt that pattern. 'To disciple' also gives rise to the word disciplinarian, which denotes a person who enforces order. An ideal disciplinarian is one who can enforce order without coercion. Usually however, the phrase 'to discipline' carries a negative connotation. This is because enforcement of order - that is, ensuring instructions are carried out - is often regulated through punishment.

To be disciplined is then, subject to context, either a virtue (the ability to follow instructions well) or a euphemism for punishment (which may also be referred to as disciplinary procedure). As a concrete noun, the discipline refers to an instrument of punishment, for example in mortification of the flesh (see also: flagellation). Such an instrument may also be applied to oneself, for example in penitence for not being sufficiently self-disciplined.

Self-discipline refers to the training that one gives one's self to accomplish a certain task or to adopt a particular pattern of behaviour, even though one would really rather be doing something else. For example, denying oneself of an extravagant pleasure in order to accomplish a more demanding charitable deed. Thus, self-discipline is the assertion of willpower over more base desires, and is usually understood to be a synonym of 'self control'. Self-discipline is to some extent a substitute for motivation, when one uses reason to determine a best course of action that opposes one's desires.

School discipline refers to regulation of children and the maintenance of order ("rules") in schools. These rules may, for example, define the expected standards of clothing, timekeeping, social behaviour and work ethic. The term may also be applied to the punishment that is the consequence of transgression of the code of behavior. For this reason the usage of school discipline sometimes means the administration of punishment, rather than behaving within the school rules.

Church discipline is a response of an ecclesiastical body to some perceived wrong, whether in action or in doctrine. Its most extreme form in modern churches is excommunication. Church discipline can also refer to the rules governing some ecclesiastical order, such as priests or monks, such as clerical celibacy.

An academic discipline refers to a body of knowledge that is being given to - or has been received by - a disciple. The term may then denotes a 'sphere of knowledge' that an individual has chosen to specialise in. In an institute of higher learning, the term 'discipline' is often a synonym of 'faculty'.

In unionised companies, discipline may be a regulated part of a collective bargaining agreement and subject to grievance procedures."

Source:http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Discipline

My Learning Platform (FX)

People ask me... Why do i have this blog?.. "Do wanna be a forex guru?", "Do you want to sell something on it?" and bla,bla,blabla...
As for me, this blog is like a diary or a bookmarks for me..
I'll put the on-line articles, lesson or video (in future) or anything about FX that trigger me while I'm browsing fx websites/forums.. Its like, when i go to a bookshop, buy a few books, then read a bit by bit..LOL
Since I'm a slow reader, sometimes I need to read a few times the same statement, before i could understand it. I can also refer back, anytime i want..
But now I'm really serious about learning FX, its like preparing for my final exam during my Uni. days.. Why?.. because i have already lost quite handsome of money in FX :-(

"There is nothing like losing all you have in the world for teaching you what not to do. And when you know what not to do in order not to lose money, you begin to learn what to do in order to win. Did you get that? You begin to leam." quotes taken from Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, written in 1923 by Edwin Lefèvre

THIS VERY UNUSUAL AND RARELY USED STRATEGY (Jacko's Way)

Happy New Year 2008!! Hope to see more GREEN Pips coming...
I'm still searching for a method/system that suit me (of course profitable one:-), and hopefully I'll find it this year..

Well, I just found an interesting one, quite simple to understand but yet to test it.. I just called it "JACKO's Way" (sounds like a movie film..hehe).. have fun.

I divide them into 4 chapters:
Chapter 1 : I am a Trend Trader
Chapter 2: Jacko.. on alternative to Hedging..
Chapter 3 :Jacko..on the Time Frame..
Chapter 4 :Trading The News




Chapter 1 : I am a Trend Trader

---

I am a Trend Trader

EVERYONE SHOULD TEST OUT THIS VERY UNUSUAL AND RARELY USED STRATEGY;

1. buy/ sell ONLY in the direction of the major trend and
2. buy/sell on dips.(Use support lines to guide you as to price...also "round" numbers ... I also use the 50% Fib ratio..)
3. bank your profits

Firstly, how do you know what the trend is?

DETERMINE THE TIME FRAME THAT YOU WANT TO TRADE.

1. If the graph on the chart starts in the bottom left hand corner and ends in the top right hand corner, the market is going UP.

2. If the graph on the chart starts in the top left hand corner and ends in the bottom right hand corner, the market is going DOWN.

3. If you are still confused, print it off and show it to a 5 year old...they will get it right EVERY time...LOL

The trend is the BEST friend you will ever have in the Forex market.

When you trade with the trend, even if you make a mistake, the market will get you out of your problem....If you make a mistake and you are fighting the trend ...YOU ARE STUFFED, BIG TIME !!!



Secondly,I think the round numbers (1.2900...1.3000...etc) are valuable. I only use minimal numbers of trend lines and the ONLY Fibonacci number I use is the 50% number....
That's the limit of my T/A...

KISS = Keep It Short and Simple
Note: I do NOT use any moving averages (or any other of the fancy measures). They are historical numbers!!!

The reasons that I use only Round numbers, trend lines, and the 50% Fib number is that the big players ALL use them. The more complex you make your trading parameters, the less number of people will be using them.


Forex is one of the most "trendy" markets. That is, it trends MUCH stronger than say metals, oils etc in futures markets. The pair that are the strongest "trend" market is the Euro/USD. Trending markets are soooo much easier to trade than choppy, volatile and erratic markets


Thirdly, Slow down... this market will be here for the rest of your life...
DON'T BET YOUR BANK...

It is better to get rich slowly...than to go broke spectacularly fast.


Fourthly, A much wiser man than me once said that "If you find yourself in a deep hole, then stop digging"

Do NOT throw good money after bad money...stop and accept the loss... then clear you head so that you can see more clearly...

You should either

1. Close out the trade, and let the market go up/down....but after the market starts to retrace, then put your "short"/"long" position back on at exactly where you closed it out. This ensures that you get back into the trade on the way down (the Jacko "alternative method" to hedging) or

2. Close the position and take the loss. Then look at getting back into a "good" trade next time. This market will be here long after you and I will be dead, so there is no need to rush in and try to get all your money back in one day.


Fifthly, the is a tendency for newbies to "PANIC" when the market goes a little against them This is due to:
1. Probably scared to lose money
2. Probably undercapitalised
3. New to industry....therefore probably uncertain about your own abilities
4. Unsure that the trend lines, 50% Fib line and "round numbers" are as reliable as they are in practice.
4. Probably inexperienced in business and investment from a practical aspect
5. Probably unsure who to talk to for guidance

There is a solution to all the above...... It is called "old age"........LOL

Finally, you ask why I prefer to use the longer term trades. The answer is that the shorter the time period, the more you are gambling and punting on tiny movements. The smaller the time frame, the less they will follow the trend lines, Fib numbers and "round number" rules.
The longer the time frame, the stronger will be the trend lines etc

Also, short term trading is emotionally much more draining.


Just some additional little things that I have remembered that may be of assistance to anyone looking to position trade:

Firstly, don't over-trade. Some people here seem to want to bet on every tic. The thing that kills new traders is the "wild punting" on everything that moves two ticks.

Secondly, stop thinking that you have to "outsmart" the market.
You don't have to..this business is very easy if you leave your brain at the door....just follow the trend = follow the money =going with the flow = barking with the big dogs.
Stop thinking that "it can't be that easy".......it is!!!


Thirdly,, you have to detach yourself emotionally from the money...that is the hard part...stop seeing it as money, and look at it as numbers.
Also, don't play with money you can't afford to lose...or alternatively, put the money aside and tell yourself that it is already lost. (You MUST detach yourself from the money

Finally, I am not saying anything different to what all the good trading books say...but it is amazing that every newbie wants to "take on" the market and then wonders which express freight train flattened them (and destroyed their trading accounts).
Most people are trading for the adrenaline rush rather than the boring concept of just maximising profits



The Forexmarkets are arguably the most "trendy" market there is, especially the Euro.

Once a trend is in place, it takes a lot of power to reverse it. Take a look at the weekly charts. This current "long" started back in early Dec 2005 at approx 1.1650. (nearly 1700 pips from where it is now) It had a relatively "minor" correction from approx 1.3000 to 1.2500 before continuing on to where it is today.

Even more strong evidence for the power of the trend is that the above "long" is part of an even stronger "long" from 0.8363 from July 2001.


Price does not like support or resistance levels. It mostly tests them and then moves away quickly. You’ll rarely find much price action in the vicinity of the line. If price is hanging around a support or resistance level, it’s likely to break in the opposite direction.
(For example we know that professional traders love round numbers to target...it brightens up their dull day to push and cajole the market to a target number. Now Euro/USD 1.3000 is the roundest number there is around those levels, so the pros have gotta be saying that the big game in the industry is to now grind and push the market to 1.3000. After that they don't care, they have had their fun...and thats why a market will whip and drop/rise dramatically straight after the target has been hit).

Smart Money is the Central Banks. They actually determine the trend by sheer weight of money. (Central Banks turn the long term currency markets to accomodate the relevant government's trade requirements). Then following them are the huge hedge funds."


Chapter 2: Jacko.. on alternative to Hedging..

"An Alternative to Hedging. Jacko's Anti-Hedging Strategy

---

This strategy was invented by me as an alternative to "hedging" which was often discussed on Forums as a panacea to a losing trade.

"Hedging " to me is simply hiding a loss under another opposite trade...and sooner or later, when the hedge comes off, there is an ugly loss exposed...I don't like that concept !!! (However, to those who use them, I say, different strokes for different folks...that is, its a personal choice).


Currently, this is what seems to happen to some Traders...

1. you put a trade on and you put a stop loss of around 40- 50 pips
2. the market goes against you (horrors....I was wwwwwrong !! )
3. let the market continue...it will probably go say another 30 - 100 pips past your stop...who knows ???
4. FINALLY, the market comes back around and starts to head in the opposite direction
5. by now you are totally hacked off with the market and you let it go


The solution that that I found is a pretty simple one but one that has to be executed without fail...

Scenario 2

That strategy is:

1. you put a trade on and you put a stop loss of around 40- 50 pips
2. the market goes against you (horrors....I was wwwwwrong !! )
3. let the market continue...it will probably go say another 30 - 100 pips past your stop...who knows ???

4. PUT AN ORDER IN AT THE EXACT SAME FIGURE AS YOUR STOP LOSS (if you were originally "short" then place a "short" order) This ensures that when the market comes back, as it invariably does, you have a DEFINATE order in place to put you back in the market where you were originally...and you are now in the same direction as the market is moving..

5. FINALLY, the market comes back around and starts to head in the opposite direction
6. The market picks you back up on its new direction

7. THE ADVANTAGES OF THIS (THEORETICAL) STRATEGY IS THAT
a. IT HAS AN EFFECTIVE AND DISCIPLINED COURSE OF ACTION
b. IT GIVES YOU A SPECIFIC "ENTRY" POINT
c. IT REDUCES LARGE DRAWDOWNS
d. IT PUTS YOU BACK IN THE MARKET EXACTLY WHERE YOU GOT OUT

I know that there are DISADVANTAGES with this strategy, buy I think that the overall effect of the advantages outweigh the disadvantages.

I also think that this strategy is more appealing to my business sense of minimising risk than the original concept of "hedging" that initially set me off to discover an alternative strategy to hedging.

I have now been using this strategy for a couple of months and it is working brilliantly.

PLEASE NOTE: I am a medium to long term trend trader. The above method works best on those time frames. It works less well on short term time frames because of the volatile "noise" in the market.

When a stop loss has been triggered, I allow it to go past my SL by a minimum of 50 pips before I set the new order.

When the market has turned and is coming down in the "trend" direction, my order is then opened.


Try it...you will be surprised how good it is.

The key advantage is that you are not tempted to "hang on" to a losing trade....and therefore your drawdowns are minimised.

However this is a "default" trade. It is NOT the prime strategy to use.
DO NOT LOSE SIGHT THAT the prime strategy is to trade medium/ long term and trade with the trend, with a trailing stop."


Chapter 3 :Jacko..on the Time Frame..

Timeframes for Determining The Trend

---

Time frames (for me) as a Trend Trader

I start with weekly, then move closer in using daily, 4 hour and 1 hour to help me make a decision. Less than 4 hours tends to be "noise" rather than a "trend". They are the "sucker" rallies and declines.
PS Don't be the sucker...

But I am also starting to notice that it doesn't really matter anymore where I buy or sell.
The anti-hedging strategy is FAR, FAR, FAR more important.

The anti-hedging strategy ensures that,... if you make a trade in the wrong direction,.... you can get your losses back ...AND you are in the direction of the trend.
Stick a trailing stop loss on it and you are guaranteed a profit.

So...
1. If your trade is a winner, you stick a trailing stop loss on it and let it run.

2. If your trade is a loser, employ the anti-hedging strategy, and at some time, you can get your losses back ...AND you are in the direction of the trend. Stick a trailing stop loss on it and let it run.

K.I.S.S. (keep it short and simple)


Chapter 4 :Trading The News

An Opinion on "Trading the News"

---

In my opinion,

You have NO chance trying to trade the news (buy or sell as soon as the news is released)...the dealers will ALWAYS be in front of you. (you need a broker too that won't play unfair tricks during those high volatility times, those tricks include freezing the platform, some will widen the spread way too much, others will get you filled way to far from the price you wanted to).

Whichever broker you trade with, you are trading through their platform. Consequently, their brokers will therefore have an advantage over you.
To think otherwise is naive.
They are taking the other side of the trade (which they must in "trading the news" because they don't have time to spread their risk), and they will fight tooth and nail not to give away a business advantage to any trader. That's why they are doing all the things (plus much more) outlined above.

Its like poker, if you look around the room and can't see the patsy, then YOU are the patsy. The faster / shorter time frames that you try to play in this business the more you are at a disadvantage. Retail traders trading the news are like fish swimming with hungry sharks in blood-filled water.

(Source : taken from forexfactory.com.."Invented by Jacko, Jacko's Forex House of Pleasure and Pain")

Trading in 8 Pairs - Q & A

what's the use of Gann HiLo activator?

That means Bullish when bar forms upper the blue line and bearish if it forms below the blue line.

This blue line is very important. in all pairs, Gann will send PRE SIGNAL before 5EMA crosses 50 EMA.

On the QQE, do you need a 50 line crossover (of the thick solid line) as well as a crossover of the two indicator lines?
On the MACD, do you need to be above the 0 line as well as the bars rising in value?

QQE, blue crossover upward means bullish and the time QQE crossover the MACD is going up and so is momentum. That means get ready to open long position and I suggest that you wait for 5EMA to cross 50 EMA for more safe. This Condition guarantee 100-250 pips bro.

When the price goes against you, you don't have to wait until it hits your SL but you can close it manually as soon as 5 crosses 15. or red crosses yellow, and it would be around -25 pips

What trading session(s) do you enter and exit your trades?

I always check my chart for every 4 hours and some times 10 hours if I have already lock in some profits.

I still wonder what is your strategy to open position on GJ when all the signals are confirmed. It can be difficult to set your SL cause GJ has a wider retracement than other pair. Do you wait for a retracement to enter or instantly enter position when all the signals are ready?

in 4H TF ( bullish trend) you can see that when 5EMA crossed Gann HiLo, at the same time QQE, Momentum and MACD are all crossed up . You may place an order in this point ( especially GJ pairs) and after it reached 50 pips moves your SL to +10 and after it reached 80 pips please lock in 50 pips and let this beast go for another 100, 150 or even 200 pips or retrace to hit your SL

by:cornelius2 at www.forexfactory.com

Trading in 8 Pairs - When to Buy?

BUY

When?
1. the 5 SMA crossed 50 upward that is the first signal.
2. Please check the MACD, the bar must be climbing up.
3. after 15 crossed 50 the signal is 98% bullish.
4. Usually MACD, QQE and Momentum are crossed up at the same time, and that is a signal to upload your weapon.

Please open your buy there with TP1 80 pips and lock profit for 50 pips after TP touched and let the price go to TP2 180 pips.

note :

Patience traders as we are trading in 4h time frame. Noo need to Hurry.

MACD : Please draw a red line in zero line.

Source: by cornelius2, forexfactory Forum.

Trading in 8 Pairs - Part 1

Trading in 8 pairs

Hello traders,

I am trading in 8 pairs with very good result ( between 2.400 - 3.500 pips) a month.

I am not the creator of this method as I combine the system from Vynner, Investor_me and later I add Auslanco system.

I don't do any scalp as I don't have much time to follow the trend minute by minute so I decided to use 4h time frame. No stress and no crossing finger as this system is absolutely trend following.

I have been trying this system for 7 months with very good results or at least I have bought a new car

Recently I am trading in these pairs : GJ,GU,EU,AU,UJ,UChf,UCad,NU and EJ

Remember this traders, we only have 3-5 entry point for every pair a month with approx 80-200 green pips each.

We must patience to wait those entry points so keep smiling.
For newbie, please use money management.

For example :
Small Deposit in September $ 2.000, when AUD gives signal buy you op with max $ 50 and SL 30 pips or when red signal turn to cross yellow.

your income for September should be aprox. : $50 x 300 pips x 8 pairs = $ 1.200. ( 60% Return on Investment). You should use only $50 per pair because sometimes there are 4 signals come out at the same time and that means you need to use $200.

Here the tools you need:

Metatrader4
EMA5 Red
EMA 15 yellow
EMA 50 White
Thanks to Great Vynner for this method

MACD:
Fast EMA 5
Slow EMA 13
MACD SMA 1
Thanks to Great Investor_me for this method

Momentum value 10

QQE :
Thanks to great Auslanco for this last method

Regards.
Cornelius
(source;http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=45176)

What is a "Get-Rich-Quick" scheme?

"Get-Rich-Quick" scheme?

A plan which offers high or unrealistic rates of return for a small investment while at the same time promising that such investment is easy and risk -free.

The following "Get-Rich-Quick" schemes are prohibited under the
legislation administered by Bank Negara Malaysia :

Illegal Deposit Taking Activities

Illegal deposit taking is an act of receiving, taking or accepting of deposits (moneys, precious metal, precious stone, any other article etc.) from members of the public that promises a repayment with interest or returns in money or money's worth without a valid license under the Banking and Financial Institutions Act 1989 (BAFIA).

Illegal Foreign Currency Dealings

The following acts tantamount to illegal foreign currency dealings:

- Buying or selling of foreign currency by a person who is not an authorized dealer unless such person has obtained the permission of the Controller of Foreign Exchange under the Exchange Control Act 1953 (ECA).

- Buying or selling of foreign currency by a resident who is not an authorised dealer, with a person outside Malaysia except if the resident has obtained the permission of the Controller of Foreign Exchange under the ECA. CAUTION: Internet Investment Schemes

- Members of the public are cautioned to be on guard against some investment schemes promoted on the internet as these schemes are not licensed or authorized by Bank Negara Malaysia to accept deposits or deal in foreign currency. Such schemes often come in the guise of
attractive investment returns or opportunities involving unrealistic rates of returns with zero to low risk.

- Investors are reminded that they should only place deposits with institutions licensed or deal in foreign currency with institutions authorised by the Bank. Unlicensed operators may cease operating their business resulting in the investors with no means to recover their investments or seek redress against the persons connected with the scheme.

How To Spot The Scams?

Illegal deposit taking scam

o The person (an individual, a company or an organisation) receives, takes or accepts deposits from members of the public and is not licensed under section 6(4) of the BAFIA;
o The person promises to repay the deposit, with or without interest or returns, over a period of time in the form of money or money's worth, etc.; and
o The person promises to repay the initial deposit upon demand or at a time or in circumstances agreed by or on behalf of the person making the payment and the person receiving it, with any consideration in money or money's worth (the repayment of initial
deposit is sometimes included in the fixed interest or returns promised).

Warning Signs for Investors

· Illegal deposit taking activities have been disguised and camouflaged in various forms to deceive the public to fall victim to the investment scams, by giving valuable goods as part of the promised returns and camouflaging the deposits as loans to the company;

· Illegal deposit taking activities appear to be able to provide high or unrealistic rates of interest or return over a short period of time as compared to licensed institutions. However, these schemes will not last long;

· The survival of this scheme is dependent upon the recruitment of new depositors, i.e., new funds obtained will be used in paying dividends to the existing depositors. Therefore , the scheme will fail when there is no contribution of funds from new depositors; and

· Initially the depositors may be paid their promised returns. However, the operator would eventually abscond with the moneys collected when he feels that the scheme is about to fail, thus leaving the depositors at the losing end. Illegal foreign currency scam

Foreign currency dealings with a person, other than an authorized
dealer, who has not obtained the permission of the Controller of
Foreign Exchange under the ECA, often:

o Offer investors or members of the public the opportunity to deal in foreign currencies with a principal company (purported to have a valid licence to trade foreign currencies overseas);
o Facilitate the trading of foreign currencies by providing access to the principal company's website and trading facilities via internet;
o Recruit fresh graduates as marketing executives and allure them to get their family members to invest;
o Instruct the investors to deposit the investment moneys into either the principal company's bank account or a third party bank account; and
o Induce the investors to top up their investment ("margin call") or otherwise risk losing their investment.

Warning Signs For Investors

Illegal operators of foreign currency scams will try to entice potential investors with a marketing strategy which promises quick and high returns

· By projecting a professional and reputable image with smart-looking employees, a high-tech office layout and advanced IT facilities where investors are induced to operate their accounts via the internet;
· With tools of the trade, e.g., a news screen showing movements in exchange rates, to give the impression that a professional and legitimate business is being conducted; and
· A business contract is usually entered into between the investors and the company. Such contracts are usually left unsigned by the company. This means no action can be taken by the investors against the company as there is no binding written contract.

How To Protect Yourself From The Scams?

+ Remember the golden rule - if it sounds too good to be true, it's probably a lie;
+ Deal only with licensed financial institutions and authorized dealers;
+ Check with the relevant authority before investing;
+ Don't be pressured or rushed to invest;
+ Be extra careful with investments over the internet;
+ Be skeptical of any investment opportunity that is not in writing; and
+ In case an investment has been made, keep copies of all the investment and communications.

What Should You Do If You Are a Victim of such Scams?

If you have any information pertaining to illegal deposit taking activities or illegal foreign currency dealings or are a victim of such activities or scams you can send details of such information or complaint together with the documents to Bank Negara Malaysia as
follows:

Address:
Unit Penyiasatan Khas
Bank Negara Malaysia
Jalan Dato' Onn
50480 Kuala Lumpur
Fax: 03-26987467
E-mail: upkinfo@bnm.gov.my

We can also be contacted at the following telephone numbers:

Tel.: 03-2691 5090 / 2698 4163 / 2691 0824 / 2692 6482 / 2694 2143

In the trading system based on TRSI/RSI and MACD indicators it is important to find out tht basic pattern "a gold cross", i.e. divergence between RSI and MACD. The system works on 1, 5, 10, 15 and 30 minutes, hours, day and weeks. A recommended time-frame is not less than 5 minutes.

This document contains only the information of educational character and an exchange of trading ideas. Anything mentioned in this document and as your interpretation of the information or diagrams, cannot be apprehended as trading advice. The trade undertaken on the basis of this educational information, is strictly yours own risk.

The Purpose of this document consists in helping traders to study system RSI/MACD, in its all completeness and also to understand, how itself trades on this system. Such by they will spend time at the monitor, studying practical use of this system instead of trying to understand, what principles of work of system. However this document explains only main principles of work of system. Many weeks are required from the monitor to you to seize this system completely. You do not become the successful trader if will not follow all instructions and to not spend long hours at the monitor. Study history and patterns. The basic attention to give do not find fault-low with the price, and to behavior of indicators. The price always is derivative chaos of the market, catching of a bottom and maxi - empty employment. Nobody can predict the price.

This document demands, that you followed your trading rules. It is a unique way at which you become the successful trader. RSI/MACD - very simple system. Rules are very simple. Do not allow lack of the intellectual control to destroy your trade. Concentrate on system, and you will succeed. Instructions will tell All of you, that you should know. Only follow them directly and precisely.

The System is based all on 3 indicators, candles: MACD 12/26/9 Close, RSI 9/3 Close, candles are used as the price indicator, a time-frame - not less than 5 minutes. These are standard adjustments of the combined indicators, on Close - work the majority of traders.

RSI/MACD system basics

To predict - for slaves..., to react - for kings?, the wise man operates in advance! Get Forex forecast!

You do not need to reflect, something to add or invent at trade on system RSI/MACD. system RSI/MACD represents a full set of instructions to which you should follow. It is not necessary to add anything to it. The system is finished, exact and has well proved in a reality during many years.

The majority of traders try to understand all "why" on the basis of which this or that trading system works. I believe it is correct. You should understand, as well as why that you do, works. However it is not necessary so to do at a grade level and development already proved as working trading system since it will not bring additional results. System RSI/MACD just also is such type of trading systems. Study system, trading on it on tools (a demo the account) while be not convinced of all. Study and penetrate in system gradually, not trying to understand all at once. Simply follow instructions, not setting a question why you should operate so. Then you will understand all "as" and "why" the system works.

System RSI/MACD is not similar to one other system. It is simple, finished, exact, clear and unambiguous. It forces to be mistaken much less often, than can seem. In system there are no inconsistent signals. Therefore be not afraid. You should not guess what. Patterns, entrance signals and signals on an output are clear and precisely certain. Simply reject all your doubts and follow instructions.

At testing on Omega TS the system shows 85% of successful transactions.

Indicator RSI has some nuances which it is impossible to explain in this document. They can be mastered only in due course, lead in an expert at the monitor. But all instructions which will be necessary for you, are resulted here and they will help long enough to you while you will not start to trade perfectly.

Danger of inputs-outputs is especially great at average values RSI and the unsteady trend.

I spent about 3 years on testing alive this system, therefore it and became simple, finished and profitable. In system RSI/MACD trading schemes are certain. They will let to you the know when it is necessary to begin trade and to leave it. This everything, that is necessary for you.

RSI/MACD - an outstanding system, because you do not need to think or guess to find out. Simply operate according to instructions. Any other system does not define trading schemes, inputs and outputs also is clear, as RSI/MACD does it for you. Take its advantages. Allow it to make for you all work.

Actually, the majority of other trading systems could be profitable for you if you had a clear and precise set of signals for actions which never would contradict each other. Usually other trading systems use late indicators and cannot provide clear signals on an input and an output. And without a clear and laconic set of trading rules you never can successfully trade. System RSI/MACD will provide you with clear and laconic patterns, signals and instructions. Follow them, and at All of you it will turn out.

One more problem of other systems consists that they mean the reference to too big number of indicators. You cannot trade with use of such big number of indicators because the analysis all of them will simply overload you. You cannot simply fulfill a signal. What for to add to your graphs so a lot of superfluous? Can be because nobody spoke you, to not do it. But now you know, therefore - do not do.

When the system uses too many indicators, it is insufficiently clear, and it is difficult to you to react to signals of an input and an output. Or, that is even worse, you enter into trade, but do not leave it because one of signals shows, that it is possible to remain in the market. RSI/MACD defines clear outputs. There can be no justifications to that you have remained in the market when there was a signal of an output. It is one of remarkable properties of system.

Probably, other systems are less effective because you do not understand, that presence and following to the exact plan of trade - a unique way to trade successfully. So, if you do not have own trading plan, or trade goes not so successfully, study system RSI/MACD to follow for it and to refuse bad trading habits.

The formula of indicator RSI is based on an impulse of the prices for the certain period of time. It is advancing, instead of the late indicator. It advances all other indicators. If to unite it with system RSI/MACD it is possible to win against all other systems of trade.

System RSI/MACD allows you to advance other traders at an input in trade on one or more bar, and also to advance at an output from it, that prevents greater losses. system RSI/MACD protects you from losses and increases profit. Do not spend all for nothing time.

Be focused on instructions. Think of them. Each time, discussing system, you try to expand, eventually, the knowledge and to improve results of trade. You constantly discuss some statements which you have learned from books, brochures, on websites or even have heard from people who, probably, never traded. Be focused only on RSI/MACD and trade under instructions. RSI/MACD deals directly with life cycle of the price.

System RSI/MACD cuts all problems which you could have at trade, - gives a full, exact and clear set of instructions. You "have learned" much about ways of trade from other trading systems or from books, however it has not so helped you. Actually, even injured you. Forget while about all this, find it useless. Only be focused on trade according to instructions, not thinking about what the friend. Do not try to understand, why. The market always moves in the direction, passengers enter and leave according to the intention and destination.

Also it is very important to observe not of absolute change under the account, and for % of change.

"Losses - a part of trade", "Reduce losses, allow profit to grow", "Do not trade against a trend", etc. to you spoke about it hundreds times, however it all the same does not work. Only follow system RSI/MACD which has taken care of all for you. The system defines all the rules necessary for full trading system so you should not think. Everything, that you should - react only to signals, and all will be fine.

RSI/MACD will prompt, when to you to enter into the market, will help to receive solid profits, and to leave the market with small losses. It also will not allow you to trade against a trend. Only follow its instructions that is not difficult. Any other system of trade does not go so far in management of each aspect of trade.

One of improbable secrets RSI/MACD - that the system represents the opportunities not accessible before, and cleans all unnecessary. Thus, at this trading system does not remain unresolved problems. For example, you learned how to trade at the bear flags, gaps and a wedge in many various ways. So, on what way to stop? Probably, each time is necessary a new method? Here in what a problem. And as you have studied many ways of trade do not dare to follow simple rules. Forget all this. RSI/MACD gives new conditions for trade that you have not got confused.

At trade RSI/MACD everything, that it is necessary - to find RSI/MACD patterns. System do not interest, that remind price bars, it does not worry, that other indicators or other markets do. Any of these questions. It is focused only that now does your separate market and allows you to trade. This system is simple and consequently very well works.

RSI/MACD stops all doubts which arise at studying other websites, newsletters, books and clauses. Forget all this material. All this while is useless. Think of system, as about a new way of trade.

Unique application of price bars - to define a level for an enter/exit.

At installation of warrants remember that you advance others on 1 and more bar, warrants are better for exposing on a body of the previous candle, the price usually comes back.

Patterns of RSI/MACD allow you to trade very well. Follow instructions carelessly, nothing adding and complicating, and with you nothing to happen.

If you yet do not trust, that trade can be so simple, or are not courageous enough precisely to follow instructions how is told here then you can not read other part of this document. Throw out it, and go further.

(by Ivan Petrov,http://forex-forecast.net)

Application of long/turbo RSI+MACD (Part 1)

Rules of data reading RSI/MACD.

• Week, day, intraday, in intraday to consider day and weeks, that is the general situation in the market.
• To choose a corresponding time-frame.
• The Nobility extreme values of indicators for the chosen tool.
• Each market will have own trend which should not be considered at trade in other market.
• Inertia of the market - the market should cool down or heat up, then there is a consolidation.
• In the price risks, and also a news background and expectations of traders are considered all.

The above picture is a full set of graphs which are necessary for trade on system RSI/MACD. Here three different tools and only one time-frame for everyone. I do not change a symbol of the graph and its time-frame within all trading day in system RSI/MACD. Absolutely everything, that is necessary to us for trade in the market, is on this set of graphs. And we do not pay attention on what another. All is simple.

We use only two RSI the indicator and one MACD at trade. The first is RSI with the period 9, displayed red color (a thick line) which refers to RSI. Another is RSI with the period 3, displayed as red (a thin line), and named Turbo RSI or TRSI. MACD 9 or 8 is displayed navy (a thin line) by color.

Establish the unique graph with the unique time-frame for the tool. At transition to other time-frame it is necessary to consider frequency rate a time-frame in during trading session.

Choose quiet colors. Establish the size and color of the text and any other element of the graph so that they strongly were not allocated. As much as possible allocate both RSI the indicator and MACD. Make their convenient for reading. They are the only thing, that we wish to allocate during trade. Any other information is not important. If something is allocated another besides patterns RSI you will be focused on it and worsen time of your reaction.

Everything, that you need to do within all day is to wait for occurrence RSI/MACD of a pattern. It will be uneasy employment. Good trade - by definition patient. Reconcile to it. We wait for entrance signal RSI/MACD. We enter into trade. We wait RSI/MACD a signal to an output. We leave trade. All simply and definitely, very clearly and well works.

Source:(http://www.forex-forecast.net)

Trading The MACD Divergence

Moving average convergence divergence (MACD), invented in 1979 by Gerald Appel, is one of the most popular technical indicators in trading. MACD is appreciated by traders the world over for its simplicity and flexibility because it can be used either as a trend or momentum indicator.

Trading divergence is a popular way to use MACD histogram (which we explain below), but, unfortunately, the divergence trade is not very accurate - it fails more than it succeeds. To explore what may be a more logical method of trading MACD divergence, we look at using the MACD histogram for both trade-entry and trade-exit signals (instead of only entry), and how currency traders are uniquely positioned to take advantage of such a strategy.

MACD: An Overview
The concept behind MACD is fairly straightforward. Essentially it calculates the difference between an instrument's 26-day and 12-day exponential moving average (EMA). Of the two moving averages that make up MACD, the 12-day EMA is obviously the faster and the 26-day is the slower. In the calculation of their value, both moving averages use the closing prices of whatever period is measured. On the MACD chart, a 9-day EMA of MACD itself is plotted as well, and it acts as a trigger for buy and sell decisions. MACD generates a bullish signal when it moves above its own 9-day EMA, and it sends a sell sign when it moves below its 9-day EMA.

The MACD histogram is an elegant visual representation of the difference between MACD and its 9-day EMA. The histogram is positive when MACD is above its 9-day EMA and negative when MACD is below its 9-day EMA. If prices are rising, the histogram grows larger as the speed of the price movement accelerates and contracts as price movement decelerates. The same principle works in reverse as prices are falling. See Figure 1 for a good example of a MACD histogram in action.

Figure 1 - The above is an example of MACD histogram. Note that as price action (top part of the screen) accelerates to the downside, the MACD histogram (in the lower part of the screen) makes new lows and vice versa as prices turn.

As it responds to the speed of price movement, the MACD histogram is the main reason why so many traders rely on this indicator to measure momentum. Indeed, most traders use the MACD indicator more frequently to gauge the strength of the price move than to determine the direction of a trend.

Trading Divergence
As we mentioned earlier, trading divergence is a classic way in which the MACD histogram is used. One of the most common set-ups is to find chart points at which price makes a new swing high or a new swing low but the MACD histogram does not, indicating a divergence between price and momentum. Figure 2 illustrates a typical divergence trade.

Figure 2 - Here is a typical (negative) divergence trade using a MACD histogram. At the right-hand circle on the price chart, the price movements make a new swing high, but at the corresponding circled point on the MACD histogram, the MACD histogram is unable to exceed its previous high of 0.3307. (The histogram reached this high at the point indicated by the lower left-hand circle.) The divergence is a signal that the price is about to reverse at the new high, and as such, it is a signal for the trader to enter into a short position.

Unfortunately, the divergence trade is not very accurate - it fails more times than it succeeds. Prices frequently have several final bursts up or down that trigger stops and force traders out of position just before the move actually makes a sustained turn and the trade becomes profitable. Figure 3 demonstrates a typical divergence fakeout, which has frustrated scores of traders over the years.

Figure 3 - A typical divergence fakeout. Strong divergence is illustrated by the right circle (at the bottom of the chart) by the vertical line, but traders who set their stops at swing highs would have been taken out of the trade before it turned in their direction.

One of the reasons that traders often lose with this set up is they enter a trade on a signal from the MACD indicator but exit it based on the move in price. Since the MACD histogram is a derivative of price and is not price itself, this approach is in effect the trading version of mixing apples and oranges.

Using the MACD Histogram for Both Entry and Exit
To resolve the inconsistency between entry and exit, a trader can use the MACD histogram for both trade-entry and trade-exit signals. To do so, the trader trading the negative divergence takes a partial short position at the initial point of divergence, but instead of setting the stop at the nearest swing high based on price, s/he instead stops out the trade only if the high of the MACD histogram exceeds its previous swing high, indicating that momentum is actually accelerating and the trader is truly wrong on the trade. If, on the other hand, the MACD histogram does not generate a new swing high, the trader then adds to his or her initial position, continually achieving a higher average price for his or her short.

Currency traders are uniquely positioned to take advantage of this strategy because with this strategy, the larger the position, the larger potential gains once the price reverses - and in FX, you can implement this strategy with any size of position and not have to worry about influencing price. (Traders can execute transactions as large as 100,000 units or as little as 1,000 units for the same typical spread of three to five points in the major pairs.)

In effect, this strategy requires the trader to average up as prices temporarily move against him or her. This, however, is typically not considered a good strategy. Many trading books have derisively dubbed such a technique as "adding to your losers". However, in this case the trader has a logical reason for doing so - the MACD histogram has shown divergence, which indicates that momentum is waning and price may soon turn. In effect, the trader is trying to call the bluff between the seeming strength of immediate price action and MACD readings that hint at weakness ahead. Still, a well-prepared trader using the advantages of fixed costs in FX, by properly averaging up the trade, can withstand the temporary drawdowns until price turns in his or her favor. Figure 4 illustrates this strategy in action.

Figure 4 - The chart indicates where price makes successive highs but the MACD histogram does not - foreshadowing the decline that eventually comes. By averaging up his or her short, the trader eventually earns a handsome profit as we see the price making a sustained reversal after the final point of divergence.

Conclusion
Like life, trading is rarely black and white. Some rules that traders agree on blindly, such as never adding to a loser, can be successfully broken to achieve extraordinary profits. However, a logical, methodical approach for violating these important money management rules needs to be established before attempting to capture gains. In the case of the MACD histogram, trading the indicator instead of the price offers a new way to trade an old idea - divergence. Applying this method to the FX market, which allows effortless scaling up of positions, makes this idea even more intriguing to day traders and position traders alike.

By Boris Schlossberg, Senior Currency Strategist, FXCM

** This article and more are available at Investopedia.com - Your Source for Investing Education **

What is Fibonacci retracement

Fibonacci retracement is a very popular tool among technical traders and is based on the key numbers identified by mathematician Leonardo Fibonacci in the thirteenth century. However, Fibonacci's sequence of numbers is not as important as the mathematical relationships, expressed as ratios, between the numbers in the series. In technical analysis, Fibonacci retracement is created by taking two extreme points (usually a major peaktrough) on a stock chart and dividing the vertical distance by the key Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8% and 100%. Once these levels are identified, horizontal lines are drawn and used to identify possible support and resistance levels. Before we can understand why these ratios were chosen, we need to have a better understanding of the Fibonacci number series. (For a more in-depth discussion of this subject, see Fibonacci And The Golden Ratio.)

The Fibonacci sequence of numbers is as follows: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, etc. Each term in this sequence is simply the sum of the two preceding terms and sequence continues infinitely. One of the remarkable characteristics of this numerical sequence is that each number is approximately 1.618 times greater than the preceding number. This common relationship between every number in the series is the foundation of the common ratios used in retracement studies.

For reasons that are unclear, these ratios seem to play an important role in the stock market, just as they do in nature, and can be used to determine critical points that cause an asset's price to reverse

Source:http://www.investopedia.com

Money Management & Trading Habits

Money Management & Trading habits:

Maximum 2% risk per pair -What that means is when you calculate your stop losses your stop loss amount has to be within 2% of your account .If the trade goes against you, the maximum you will loose is 2% of your account. This way it also prevents you from getting panic attacks when the trade retrace against you resulting you close the trade pre maturely.
If your desired stop losses do not come within 2% of your account don’t take that trade. As I always say, you may miss one trade but there are millions more to come.

You always have to calculate your risk every time before you enter your trades.
Your risk to profit ratio has to be minimum 1:1. That means if you are taking a 2% risk on a trade make sure your profit target would be at least 2%.

Always have realistic targets. My aim is 300 % capital growth per year. The lesser your target is lesser the risk of losing your own money. Even if you have 50% capital growth per year you are doing better than 90% of the worlds biggest hedge funds.

More trades you take the more you expose your account for losses. No trader in this world can profit from every single market move.

Patience plays a big part in trading. Take the trades only if you are at least 90% sure of profiting from it. If you are not sure stay away from the trade. Staying on the sideline is as good as winning.

Never trade against the trend. Specially with a high volatile pair like GBP/JPY. It may give you couple of winning trades. But it’s going to get you in the long run.

Always have a trading strategy ... make a habit to stick to it doesn’t matter how desperate you are.

Always trust your strategy but not bloomberg or some statement from citibank. Don’t go with your gut feeling because 95% of the time your gut feeling is wrong.

Your charts are your forex bible. Everything what you need to know about forex is on your charts. You will learn something new everyday from you charts.

Specialize in one or two pairs. Every single pair has it’s own characteristics. No two pairs are the same. Don’t trade all the pairs your broker can offer. If you specialize in one or two pairs very soon you will be able to read the pair like a road map .

Stay away from the ranging markets. There will be enough of trend break outs on this pair than you ever want. Why take any extra risks trying to chase 20 pips on a ranging markets when you can grab 200 pips on a break out.

As Monarc mentioned traders are a greedy bunch. Less greedy once are the most successful once.

Don’t try to chase every single pip or market movement. Have a realistic weekly or monthly target as a percentage of your account . Not the number of pips. If you have already achieved that target stay away from the market. As I mentioned before.. the more you trade there is more risk of losing your money.

The losses are part of the game. Do not try to cover all your previous losses from your next trade. First your trading plan has to include at least 50% of losing trades. Then you can cut down on the number of losing trades while you gain experience and confidence.
When you start you must demo trade at least for the first 3 months to build a trading strategy. Then for the next 3 months trade on a demo account or a micro account and test your strategy coupled with a good money management strategy. When you are fully confident then trade with your real account.

Use minimum account leverage. Don’t abuse it. My recommendation for new traders is maximum one mini lot for every $2500 or one full lot for every $25000.

At last ... remember there is no easy way to become a good consistently profitable trader. No one can become a profitable trader overnight. As everything else in life it takes time, patience lots of sacrifices and learning. Don’t be afraid of mistakes.

It took me 8 months to make my first consistent $100 per week.
Since then making money is like a walk in the park.

(By: Jacko's Forex House of Pleasure and Pain)